1st – 7th April Bookings Model Update
It was business as usual this week – no new additions or improvements to report from the model. Because of that, I’ll keep this write-up short and just go over an update on the lifetime results.
Lifetime Results
Model performance remained solid this week, main lines are going well with some good fortune on ladders too. Results have been consistent, as we finished 11.82 units up for this week (Tuesday 1st to Monday 7th) on main lines, despite a poor weekend.
The key takeaways this week are:
- Premier League & Serie A continue to outperform other leagues. Unders especially.
- Splits seem to be performing better than totals, although a better method of tracking is required (and I have got an idea to implement this time)
- Current strategy of backing unders with a difference of 6+ booking points between model and market seems optimal, so we will persist with this strategy.
- Doubles seem preferential to ladders.
The only change for next week is the addition of European fixtures – Champions League predictions have been sent to the group already. For Conference and Europa, there should hopefully be something out before Thursday, although that hinges on finding a fix. If not, they will hopefully be shared for the next round of games.
As always, appreciate the support on this project! Will have a much more detailed write-up next week, particularly mentioning MLS and Brazilian Serie A and where they currently stand. Same goes for splits and handicaps.
