26th August La Liga Preview: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
We’re into the third week of La Liga, with a chance to get stuck into some Monday night action as Villarreal host Celta Vigo. It’s a clash between two of the more enterprising teams in the league, so this fixture promises entertainment.
Both teams have got off on the right foot, undefeated so far, and will be looking to extend that good form. As it stands, Celta Vigo are top of the league, while Villarreal are third.
Pick 1: Over 2.5 Goals (1.8, bet365)
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Pick 1: Over 2.5 Goals (1.8, bet365)
- Under new manager Claudio Giraldez, O2.5 goals landed in 8/10 games at the back end of last season. Since then, it has also landed in both La Liga games so far this season.
- While Celta Vigo have been positive going forward, they’ve also looked a bit vulnerable defensively. They gave up 1.6xG and 4 big chances to Alaves, and 0.93xG and 2 big chances to Valencia.
- Villarreal were one of the more entertaining teams in the league last season, with over 2.5 goals landing in 66% of their games (joint-highest in the league)
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 74% of home games for Villarreal last season. That makes 1.9 look a fantastic price.
- Villarreal have recruited Willy Kambwala to replace Yerson Mosquera. He got his first league start last game alongside Eric Bailley, who went off injured. 38-year-old Raul Albiol might partner the youngster Kambwala against Celta Vigo.
- H2H games last season twice finished 3-2, with the home team prevailing on both occasions. At Villarreal, there was 3.65 xG created in total, with 8 big chances split four apiece. In the reverse fixture, Villarreal had a man sent off after just 17 minutes, but still managed to make the game competitive.
Bet 1: Over 2.5 Goals (1.9, bet365)
Based on the hit-rates, this bet looks fantastic value.
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Thanks for reading and best of luck if tailing!
